http://www.ted.com/talks/jan_chipchase_on_our_mobile_phones.html
Jan Chipchase is a researcher at Nokia mobile phone. He takes a different via of technology in the future. At the start of the presentation he states that he does not know what the future of technology will look like. He does not even seem to care about how technology looks. What he is concerned is how people will behave in the future. This strikes me as an interesting way to look at the future. Can we be more accurate in understanding of technology by not extrapolating the current technology but instead by understanding the behaviors of people in the future? This ties to our textbook the The Fortune Sellers. Sherden (1998) states that a problem with predicting the future is that we base it upon our lenses of present. Can we be more successful in predicting behavior rather than objects (technology)? It is an interesting idea. An important point to note is that Nokia is loosing market share at a very rapid rate. They seem to be behind in the Smartphone race. Apple, Samsung, Motorola and other are gaining market share from Nokia. This is a good reference point, but this can turn fast. Motorola was on its death bed two years ago. Their hit phone the Razor was only news and nothing they had interested customers. People expected Motorola to disappear. Well they jumped on the Android bandwagon and built the Droid. Now Motorola is back in the game.
Jan starts with the question of what do people carry. Clearly we all own a lot of stuff. I still have stuff in a box from the last move I did ten years ago. So with all of this stuff what stuff is important. Well clearly what we carry must be important. It may be the most important. Jan’s research shows that people carry keys, money, and a mobile phone. Key provide them access and transportation. Money allows commercial interaction with other people. It gives them undefined resource. The mobile phone provides the individual with a recovery device. Jan used that term. I don’t know why. I have heard of people describing a mobile phone as a security blanket, or as a person’s lifeline. No matter what the term a mobile phone provides a person with access. That access might be to social network, people, services, or resources. In all cases Jan states that people carry devices that support needs on the bottom rungs of Maslow’s need hierarchy. At this point Jan’s logic makes a jump that I did not connect. There seemed to be a gap or a piece that he did not explain. His presentation jumped from behaviors to the impact mobile phones will have on the future of innovation. He then went to explain how the mobile phone will change the social way ideas and innovation move through society. The first idea is of no surprise. The speed of ideas will increase. This then moves into not only speed what is a big idea or a significant idea will increase. Your idea may be trumpeted or made obsolete before it even gets started because of somebody’s idea. A great example would be what if Facebook moved so fast into society that MySpace never really got started? Or maybe it did? Does this start to change the VHS verse Betamax dilemma? His second prediction is the immediacy of objects. All objects, things, and ideas become immediate. The gestation period for technology decreases. The third prediction is that innovation will occur at the street level and it will come from sources that we will not expect. In 1910 we could expect innovation to come from a limited number of people that were attached to a limited number of organizations. In 2020 the number of people and the location of innovation expands to “the street”. His last prediction is that there are a lot of people that are demanding to be part of this innovation conversation. This cannot be contained in within a countries boundary, an economic class, or an educational cast. People are demanding to have role. Innovation becomes global because of the mobile phone.
Bringing this conversation back to our AL words. Clearly it is about how the mobile phone is going to bring a global innovation. It also shows the social impact of the mobile phone. There is a cost to carrying something, so those things that we do carry must have value. If universally money, keys, and mobile phone are the most important things to carry than that has meaning.
Robert
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Saturday, January 15, 2011
The future of how we interact with cell phones.
What do you carry? People carrier what they value and today cell phones are what people value.
Nokia researcher Jan Chipchase's investigation into the ways we interact with technology has led him from the villages of Uganda to the insides of our pockets. He's made some unexpected discoveries along the way.
Nokia researcher Jan Chipchase's investigation into the ways we interact with technology has led him from the villages of Uganda to the insides of our pockets. He's made some unexpected discoveries along the way.
Friday, January 14, 2011
2010 Horizon assignment
The 2010 Horizon report listed mobile computing as a short term trend that will have major impact on the education community. Mobile computing via devices like smart phones, netbooks, tablet computers, and specialized devices like the Kindle has or is moving into the mainstream population. From personal experience over half of all mobile devices sold in November and December 2010 at one wireless company were smart phones. The rest of the phones sold are either feature phones, a somewhat specialized mobile computer, or a lower cost voice only phone. This trend is even more aggressive in under developed countries where the mobile device is cheaper for the individual to purchase, less expensive to build the infrastructure, and quicker to deploy. It is in these under developed countries that mobile computing may not only dominate computing but these areas may never experience desktop PC era. The power and usability of these devices continues to increase. The worldwide adoption of 3G data and the usability impact of the iPhone sparked this trend towards mobile computing. As the industry continues to develop more capabilities in the phone with faster 4G bandwidth and even greater usability with improved interfaces from the Apple, Microsoft, Google, or RIM we can expect more abilities to be developed into mobile computing.
Educational organizations are starting to find ways of leveraging this trend to mobile computing. Teachers are beginning to provide course material such as lesson plans, books, grades, and instructions on mobile devices. In other cases they have leveraged the social aspect of these devices and developed mobile learning communities. Still others have gone farther and started to develop specific applications that aid in research. The Horizon report references Bluegrass community and technical college and how these have replaced chemistry cookbooks with a mobile application. Harvard has released an iPhone application that about the H1N1 virus. This application provides the symptoms, shows outbreak zones, and even provides the user with method to prevent the disease.
Mobile computing will have a profound change on the education system. The calculator is a good example. What is the value of a college student being able to find the square root of a complex number when a calculator is able to provide the answer in a few key pushes. By using the calculator the student can focus more time on other more complex aspects of math. Mobile computing has the potential. If the world of information is always at our finger tips is it critical that we are able to remember all that information or that we know how to find it. What year did Columbus sail the ocean blue, well lets Google that. The technological changes brought by mobile devices will change the education system at its core.
The social aspect of mobile computing creates a number of ethical concerns. At the most basic level is should teachers be allowed to “friend” their students in Facebook? Then if do what happens if they see Facebook posts that are questionable in content? Who gets to determine questionable content? What if it is legal, but in bad taste? Who’s taste rules? Then there is content. If a learning community posts information on a social website how owns that information. Traditionally college declared ownership of all information produced by students. However, when it is public who owns it? What about the content used? How does the school ensure that protected content is not used? There is a lot of questions that will need to be answered in the next ten years. While the Horizon report indicated that mobile computing is a current trend, the impacts change mobile computing will make in the education community will have a long tail.
Robert
Educational organizations are starting to find ways of leveraging this trend to mobile computing. Teachers are beginning to provide course material such as lesson plans, books, grades, and instructions on mobile devices. In other cases they have leveraged the social aspect of these devices and developed mobile learning communities. Still others have gone farther and started to develop specific applications that aid in research. The Horizon report references Bluegrass community and technical college and how these have replaced chemistry cookbooks with a mobile application. Harvard has released an iPhone application that about the H1N1 virus. This application provides the symptoms, shows outbreak zones, and even provides the user with method to prevent the disease.
Mobile computing will have a profound change on the education system. The calculator is a good example. What is the value of a college student being able to find the square root of a complex number when a calculator is able to provide the answer in a few key pushes. By using the calculator the student can focus more time on other more complex aspects of math. Mobile computing has the potential. If the world of information is always at our finger tips is it critical that we are able to remember all that information or that we know how to find it. What year did Columbus sail the ocean blue, well lets Google that. The technological changes brought by mobile devices will change the education system at its core.
The social aspect of mobile computing creates a number of ethical concerns. At the most basic level is should teachers be allowed to “friend” their students in Facebook? Then if do what happens if they see Facebook posts that are questionable in content? Who gets to determine questionable content? What if it is legal, but in bad taste? Who’s taste rules? Then there is content. If a learning community posts information on a social website how owns that information. Traditionally college declared ownership of all information produced by students. However, when it is public who owns it? What about the content used? How does the school ensure that protected content is not used? There is a lot of questions that will need to be answered in the next ten years. While the Horizon report indicated that mobile computing is a current trend, the impacts change mobile computing will make in the education community will have a long tail.
Robert
Thursday, January 13, 2011
The TWiT Netcast Network with Leo Laporte
The TWiT Netcast Network with Leo Laporte
If you struggle with password control, LastPass is a possible solution. Steve Gibson spend an hour analyzing the security of LastPass. If you prefer to read the report, http://www.grc.com/sn/sn-256.htm. Check it out.
Robert
If you struggle with password control, LastPass is a possible solution. Steve Gibson spend an hour analyzing the security of LastPass. If you prefer to read the report, http://www.grc.com/sn/sn-256.htm. Check it out.
Robert
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